I have tried to avoid speaking directly about it but I believe Biafra agitations are setting us back a thousand years. I have been writing sub posts on this matter for some time but I know some people caught on. “Nigeria seceded from the Brits and we are still struggling to gain a foothold after 50 years”
It can never be easy for development if we break up again, that’s one thing we can be sure of. You, I, and indeed our children would spend the remaining years of their lives struggling with trade barriers, foreign powers and border struggles.
It is just common sense to realise that even if Nigeria breaks up, each of us would now have to deal with the likes of China, U.S and the UAE on our own.
We would be more susceptible to underhand deals, because I am pretty sure trade between the three parts would probably be frosty at the start of the division.
As much as everybody is boasting that they will survive without the other, this is only a mirage. We are too close and too intertwined to live without the resources from the other parts of the new entities. This is the reason Biafra is clamouring for a currency and a passport.
The major reason Nigeria suffers is because we have little or no bargaining power. The major problem with the African nation is that we do not understand the principle of comparative advantage and how it drives the market towards whoever it pleases.
Let me cite a simple example: Nigeria is known for having good soil while Thailand is known for its technology for example. Thailand decides not to spend so much resources on agriculture, except for rice which grows easily over there. They instead invest heavily into technology and now they have a million units of technological development.
Nigeria, on the other hand, is busy putting hand in anything and everything. If one man is angry that they are not rigging oil in his village near Chad or Kaduna, Nigeria will move resources to go and start digging around in Nasarawa. We all know that oil exploration alone costs us so much as a nation but we go ahead and pursue it when we could have simply built a million units of agricultural power.
If Nigeria did that, we would have enough food to bargain with Thailand for some of their technology. It would be probably a thousand units of Nigerian food for a thousand units of Thailand technology. We would have been able to hold our oil wells for long enough till our technology had developed enough to explore at cheaper cost. But no, we had to start outsourcing something that we know can cost us half of our budget; added to the cost of environmental pollution, civil unrest and political crisis.
Back to the Biafra agitation, let’s now say we all split up, what are the chances that our bargaining power will increase? What are the chances that immigration laws all over the world will suddenly trust us more? What are the chances that we would be able to produce more than what we collectively produce right now?
I am not a superb economist, Lord knows I hustled through macroeconomics in university. But one thing I am certain about is that the divisive nature of the black man is what continues to sell us cheap. If Nigeria breaks up, foreign powers will gleefully step in and buy up the parts as they divvy up the resources and all that’s left of the land.
Our beggarly status will receive a massive upgrade and we will be back to square one. A call for secession in my opinion, is just a technical appeal for recolonisation. I wouldn’t be surprised if some wrinkled old white men are sitting round a coffee table right now and shaking hands on who gets which part of your country. All they need is enough time for you to blow each other up, block each other off then they smoke you out like bush rats. Would you blame them?
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